Today's Cricket

[SportBilly]

Must have been a successful dabble if the smiley face is a clue .Will you be back dabbling in the Cricket again in the future Euler?

Such a one sided game today and no ebb and flow. PAK were sharp in the field and confident with the bat, ENG were the opposite. PAK's bowling was spot on.

Lots of woe from cricket traders on twitter today.

[megarain]

Hard to fathom Pakistan .. when they try, and get a seaming ball, they can be v decent.

//

Sorry, edited post, as was all bollox.

India 1.24 pre-toss to beat Bang. Eng were 1.22 aganst them, and thought they were too short (traded higher, but, won easy)

Would be tempted to lay, if they get towards 1.20

[cybernet69]

Looks like a value LAY to me.

[megarain]

2 semi's of the RLODC ..

Today .. Essex v Notts, on my 2nd least favourite ground (chelmsford) .. impossible to get trains/to from, (for me).

Small ground, with almost any total, really in reach. Notts fav, at 1.87, with maybe Hales playing.

Tomorow .. Worcs v Surrrey at worcester .. gotta think, Surrey will outclass them .. 1.71 Surrey.

[megarain]

Final of the ICC tomorrow.

India 1.50 .. I would make them, 1.38 or so, and expect them to win.

Been a decent tourny .. just the right length .. with some amazing liquidity.

[megarain]

Real cricket starts tomorrow, with the 1st Test (Lords) .. tickets almost sold out ..

Eng 2.06

SA 4.3

Draw 3.65

Not that many non-rain draws here .. and no rain forecast. SA heavily depleted, and, I think Eng are just the wrong price.

I would have them, 1.6x.

[BetScalper]

The draw looks a good lay to me.

[megarain]

Day 1 was fun ..

Trying to make a learning experiance of this.

I had a view, 2.1 Eng was too big. 14 of 17 tests at Lords, won by team batting 1st. SA had Eng 77-4 .. and u could lay 2.38 SA. Maybe that was a decent entry point.

Anyway, at COP, Eng 357-5 ..

Eng 1.58

SA 9.2

Draw 3.75

Pitch looks full of runs .. would look to load up on draw (to trade, at bigger prices).

[megarain]

Day 3 ..

Draw went to 7.0 + .. hope u loaded up.

My work is now largely done ..

Eng 1.44

SA 14

Draw 4.1

[henbet22]

Day 3 ..

Draw went to 7.0 + .. hope u loaded up.

My work is now largely done ..

Eng 1.44

SA 14

Draw 4.1

Sadly didn't load up and so watched as a bystander the afternoon draw spike....... but did catch a few moves in Essex Surrey in the evening!!! Tom Curran was clutch in the final over. Surrey were still 1.8 after he removed Bopara and changed the outcome.

[henbet22]

Also Megarain in general do you most of your Test match trading in the first 2 innings with time on your side? Or does it depend on the situation?

Don't answer if you dont want to!! Just trying to pick up some pointers as the cricket liquidity is drawing me in.......

[megarain]

I trade all days, but find days 3-4, can be the most static.

Usually, days 1-4, will return 2-8% on turnover.

Day 5, can be 2-20%, depending on the fluctuations/weather.

The market can be v funny. Traders would have spent 20hrs +, trading a game, and can take some weird prices, at the latter stages of a game.

Not seen a tie yet .. thou once laid one .. at 8/1 .. seen most other stuff.

[henbet22]

Hi megarain,

Thank you for your answer. Very very useful indeed.

[SportBilly]

Prices moving on the test match (Eng drift, draw come in) due to weather uncertainty. From what I can see some weather sites have conflicting forecasts for today with a range from <5% to 45% chance of rain today. My gut feeling this early is that we get a full days play today.
Monday is more suspect with showers forecasted in the afternoon so the result may hinge more on when the new Eng captain declares today to give the Eng bowlers a chance of forcing a result.

[megarain]

Pitch is def wearing .. Draw is one to take on, sub 3.7 imho