London Mayor market

Betfair trading & Punting on politics. Be aware there is a lot of off topic discussion in this group centred on Political views.
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greenmark
Posts: 5066
Joined: Mon Jan 29, 2018 2:15 pm

Archery1969 wrote:
Sat May 04, 2024 7:12 pm
Given Mr Cameron’s latest comments, I still believe the UK will be at war very soon. So, elections are kind of irrelevant.
The stock market disagrees. We shall see who is correct. Truss was wrong, the market was right.
Thatcher also believed you can't buck the market. On that I agree with her, but on virtually nothing else.
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jamesedwards
Posts: 2394
Joined: Wed Nov 21, 2018 6:16 pm

Archery1969 wrote:
Sat May 04, 2024 7:12 pm
Given Mr Cameron’s latest comments, I still believe the UK will be at war very soon. So, elections are kind of irrelevant.
:lol:

Such a shame Betfair haven't put up a "Will there be a war before the next election" market. You could have cleaned up.
Archery1969
Posts: 3248
Joined: Thu Oct 24, 2019 8:25 am
Location: Newport

greenmark wrote:
Sat May 04, 2024 9:15 pm
Archery1969 wrote:
Sat May 04, 2024 7:12 pm
Given Mr Cameron’s latest comments, I still believe the UK will be at war very soon. So, elections are kind of irrelevant.
The stock market disagrees. We shall see who is correct. Truss was wrong, the market was right.
Thatcher also believed you can't buck the market. On that I agree with her, but on virtually nothing else.
You’re probably correct.

But when Mr Cameron says Ukraine can use UK supplied military hardware to strike Russia internally then that kind of ramps up the situation somewhat.

The previous delivery of storm missiles had a range of 155 miles. The new ones being delivered have a window of 230 miles. If they start landing in Russia then things could get very hairy to say the least.
greenmark
Posts: 5066
Joined: Mon Jan 29, 2018 2:15 pm

Archery1969 wrote:
Sat May 04, 2024 9:55 pm
greenmark wrote:
Sat May 04, 2024 9:15 pm
Archery1969 wrote:
Sat May 04, 2024 7:12 pm
Given Mr Cameron’s latest comments, I still believe the UK will be at war very soon. So, elections are kind of irrelevant.
The stock market disagrees. We shall see who is correct. Truss was wrong, the market was right.
Thatcher also believed you can't buck the market. On that I agree with her, but on virtually nothing else.
You’re probably correct.

But when Mr Cameron says Ukraine can use UK supplied military hardware to strike Russia internally then that kind of ramps up the situation somewhat.

The previous delivery of storm missiles had a range of 155 miles. The new ones being delivered have a window of 230 miles. If they start landing in Russia then things could get very hairy to say the least.
It looks like we are supplying a lot to Ukraine. But not decisive weapons. It's pretty awful to define the level of lethality you provide for an ally.
But I am less confident we are not heading for a major confrontation. Russia and North Korea are headed by nutters. Putin in particular. His rhetoric is so skewed with realiity. It's all about the evil west.
To me he's an unreconstructed soviet dictator.
But I guess we just have to accept Russia is a young country. It will take time to become a democracy.
Archery1969
Posts: 3248
Joined: Thu Oct 24, 2019 8:25 am
Location: Newport

greenmark wrote:
Sat May 04, 2024 10:18 pm
Archery1969 wrote:
Sat May 04, 2024 9:55 pm
greenmark wrote:
Sat May 04, 2024 9:15 pm

The stock market disagrees. We shall see who is correct. Truss was wrong, the market was right.
Thatcher also believed you can't buck the market. On that I agree with her, but on virtually nothing else.
You’re probably correct.

But when Mr Cameron says Ukraine can use UK supplied military hardware to strike Russia internally then that kind of ramps up the situation somewhat.

The previous delivery of storm missiles had a range of 155 miles. The new ones being delivered have a window of 230 miles. If they start landing in Russia then things could get very hairy to say the least.
It looks like we are supplying a lot to Ukraine. But not decisive weapons. It's pretty awful to define the level of lethality you provide for an ally.
But I am less confident we are not heading for a major confrontation. Russia and North Korea are headed by nutters. Putin in particular. His rhetoric is so skewed with realiity. It's all about the evil west.
To me he's an unreconstructed soviet dictator.
But I guess we just have to accept Russia is a young country. It will take time to become a democracy.
+ 1

Ukraine took delivery of 12 anti aircraft, drone and missile system which the UK developed. Instead of spending and using $400,000 per shot it enables them to spend just $80 using a cordinated laser system. Obviously it’s a test system but did go through a number of pre production trials.

Also, the RAF designed a new cheap drone which can fly above 8,000 feet, has a speed of 120 MPH and burst speed of 170 MPH. Has 360 degree HD night vision and carry an array of armaments.

If those above prove affective in combat then could be a game changer money wise.

Time will tell but fingers crossed. 🙏
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Crazyskier
Posts: 1182
Joined: Sat Feb 06, 2016 6:36 pm

The Silk Run wrote:
Sat May 04, 2024 4:44 pm
The Silk Run wrote:
Sat May 04, 2024 1:04 pm
ODPaul82 wrote:
Sat May 04, 2024 12:37 pm


I'm not a fan of him personally, just find him irritating :D but I find most politicians the same.
Price has dropped to 1.01 so am guessing bit of insider info on count has leaked out. I've added a bit more to my lay position as anything could still happen.
Good luck with the posturing on the outcome. I know you know what you are doing.
And have a lovely weekend ....
Inshah Allah :D
Erm, this is an English speaking forum for customers of an English company.

CS
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ODPaul82
Posts: 694
Joined: Sun May 08, 2011 6:32 am
Location: Digswell Herts

The Silk Run wrote:
Sat May 04, 2024 4:44 pm

And I believe KHAN has just won the London Mayoral Election 2024 - Inshah Allah :D
:D I got the trade pretty wrong, but I personally felt it was worth a stab
Definitely over-estimated the impact of ULEZ would have on it all.
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conduirez
Posts: 339
Joined: Tue May 23, 2023 8:25 pm

Crazyskier wrote:
Sat May 04, 2024 11:47 pm
The Silk Run wrote:
Sat May 04, 2024 4:44 pm
The Silk Run wrote:
Sat May 04, 2024 1:04 pm


Good luck with the posturing on the outcome. I know you know what you are doing.
And have a lovely weekend ....
Inshah Allah :D
Erm, this is an English speaking forum for customers of an English company.

CS
Erm The Silk Run is speaking modern English. :lol:
sionascaig
Posts: 1081
Joined: Fri Nov 20, 2015 9:38 am

Crazyskier wrote:
Sat May 04, 2024 11:47 pm
The Silk Run wrote:
Sat May 04, 2024 4:44 pm
The Silk Run wrote:
Sat May 04, 2024 1:04 pm


Good luck with the posturing on the outcome. I know you know what you are doing.
And have a lovely weekend ....
Inshah Allah :D
Erm, this is an English speaking forum for customers of an English company.

CS
Erm, إن شاء الله, and I can see your point.

Please keep your bigotry to within the church...
greenmark
Posts: 5066
Joined: Mon Jan 29, 2018 2:15 pm

sionascaig wrote:
Sun May 05, 2024 9:56 am
Crazyskier wrote:
Sat May 04, 2024 11:47 pm
The Silk Run wrote:
Sat May 04, 2024 4:44 pm

Inshah Allah :D
Erm, this is an English speaking forum for customers of an English company.

CS
Erm, إن شاء الله, and I can see your point.

Please keep your bigotry to within the church...
Sorry CS, but I agree with sionascaig and The Silk Run. The "english" language is dripping with words from other languages. And all the better for it.
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Euler
Posts: 24871
Joined: Wed Nov 10, 2010 1:39 pm
Location: Bet Angel HQ

Please keep this thread trading related.
greenmark
Posts: 5066
Joined: Mon Jan 29, 2018 2:15 pm

Euler wrote:
Sun May 05, 2024 1:40 pm
Please keep this thread trading related.
Why not close the thread? The result is known. We can bicker on other threads.
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