A fascinating political market will happen over the next 12 months......French Presidential Election
The first round will start on 8th April 2022.
However, the fiasco of the vaccines, the impact of a Covid recession, plus weeks of the yellow vest movement could make this a cracking trading market, as France looks angry and unstable!
Whilst, that all points to Le Pen stealing a march, the French political system makes her becoming President very difficult/unlikely
I reckon there could be some value and very nice moves though
I'll endeavour to keep this thread bubbling away
2022 French Presidential Election
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Doesn't France always look angry and unstable?LeTiss wrote: ↑Sun Apr 11, 2021 1:48 pmA fascinating political market will happen over the next 12 months......French Presidential Election
The first round will start on 8th April 2022.
However, the fiasco of the vaccines, the impact of a Covid recession, plus weeks of the yellow vest movement could make this a cracking trading market, as France looks angry and unstable!
Whilst, that all points to Le Pen stealing a march, the French political system makes her becoming President very difficult/unlikely
I reckon there could be some value and very nice moves though
I'll endeavour to keep this thread bubbling away
You're right though, should be one of the better political markets
It's a tremendous country Derek. Great people. Unbelievable people. It's going to be a tremendous market, yuge market. YUGE.Trader Pat wrote: ↑Tue Dec 07, 2021 8:42 pmDoesn't France always look angry and unstable?
You're right though, should be one of the better political markets
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I would really be surprised if Macron wins the election again. I think that his policy does not help in the development of France, but on the contrary worsens the situation.
Le Pen has really closed the gap the last couple of weeks, what is amazing is she is not just picking up Zemmour voters but also the left too due to her economic policies.
The market has it about right though but the love keeps coming for Zemmour despite his polls in single figures now
The market has it about right though but the love keeps coming for Zemmour despite his polls in single figures now
Yeah I think everyone will be looking at how the polling compares to the actual results on Sunday, if Le Pen is less than 3pts behind at worst then she’s in with a real shot, momentum is definitely on her side.
Zemmour still somehow 3rd favourite smh