Trading Cricket

T20, IPL, Test matches or the Ashes, discuss it here.
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iambic_pentameter
Posts: 443
Joined: Wed May 18, 2016 1:24 pm

Megarain,

Thanks for taking the time to share these details - especially in the early hours.

Without asking you to reveal your secrets, are there any pointers you could give about price movements?

For example, if you layed the draw as per Crunchfrog's stats, what sort of price increase could you see over, say, a morning or afternoon's session - just thinking based on your comments about micro-trading.

Iambic
Emmson
Posts: 3363
Joined: Mon Feb 29, 2016 6:47 pm

I don't do what Megarain does, that sounds too analytical for me and I'm not that way inclined. I use my cricket reading skills and drip my way into a position and then try & drip my way out.

Like I have just done on the Women's Ashes T20 RIGHT NOW!

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=X1VjGQgMOkU

Eng are about to begin the chase and I don't think they have any chance at all.
Emmson
Posts: 3363
Joined: Mon Feb 29, 2016 6:47 pm

Eng are about to begin the chase and I don't think they have any chance at all
Getting It Wrong!

They have flipped the market from 1.01 Aus and are on course to win. I never placed another bet after that vid.
mcfc1981
Posts: 352
Joined: Tue Oct 27, 2009 11:54 pm

Best advice I can give you is learn the value of each batsman wicket and how a 4 and 6 will effect the market at each point in the game.
mcfc1981
Posts: 352
Joined: Tue Oct 27, 2009 11:54 pm

good example is now in the t20 game....
current odds 1.65
Gayle out odds will go to about 1.35
Mituhn out odds 1.5
mcfc1981
Posts: 352
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match odds were 1.87 and dipped to a low on Gayle's wicket of 1.46 (which was too low given the current runrate) before settling at 1.52.
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Euler
Posts: 24701
Joined: Wed Nov 10, 2010 1:39 pm
Location: Bet Angel HQ

I keep meaning to look at cricket seriously, but I'm so busy on everything else it's tough.
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megarain
Posts: 2040
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Euler wrote:
Tue Nov 21, 2017 12:41 pm
I keep meaning to look at cricket seriously, but I'm so busy on everything else it's tough.
Just for laffs, here is an out-take, literally, the 1st stab, at using the beta/OBS (recording software), and everything else.

Many probs, with beta, and the recording software, not showing the whole screen.

Enjoy.

https://www.dropbox.com/s/kaolc6t1zkhpc ... s.mp4?dl=0
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megarain
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iambic_pentameter wrote:
Tue Nov 21, 2017 9:08 am
Megarain,

Thanks for taking the time to share these details - especially in the early hours.

Without asking you to reveal your secrets, are there any pointers you could give about price movements?

For example, if you layed the draw as per Crunchfrog's stats, what sort of price increase could you see over, say, a morning or afternoon's session - just thinking based on your comments about micro-trading.

Iambic
Its not a metric I measure, so, cant really comment. I have a daily mental expected value, and hit it, with surprising frequency.
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harsh
Posts: 131
Joined: Tue Jul 18, 2017 1:26 am

megarain wrote:
Tue Nov 21, 2017 1:49 am
Another set of stats https://twitter.com/FrogCrunchy are the ICC standings :

iccnov2017jpg.jpg

These stats, may also be a worthy starting point, for some strats.
Hi. I will be thankful if you tell 'What these figures are sayin'.
I dont wana make a guess to myself, Its better to ask.

Thanks
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Tommassi
Posts: 22
Joined: Fri Jun 19, 2015 11:19 am

Hi megarain,

I’ve previously downloaded Betfair data from data.betfair.com. Is this where you downloaded your data from ?
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megarain
Posts: 2040
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historical betfair com

£75 a mth, for 1 sec data
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