Wouldn't it be safer to limit the distribution analysis to the participating sample rather than get the name of every donkey that ever lived.
Who wants to share some edges.
- ruthlessimon
- Posts: 2094
- Joined: Wed Mar 23, 2016 3:54 pm
The best analysis would be to look at the excess win rate, by assigning each favourite a value of (1*(DID IT WIN)-(1/ODDS))ruthlessimon wrote: ↑Mon Sep 17, 2018 3:50 pmNo, the staking was varied to account for the differences in price.
A 1 tick winner will always = £1, no matter the price
That will give the true variation to chance
- ruthlessimon
- Posts: 2094
- Joined: Wed Mar 23, 2016 3:54 pm
You know what, I'm not telling ya which one is up +0.4% over 4mths - I'm trading that shizzle
i reckon drake is the best perforning and moby the underperfomer -ruthlessimon wrote: ↑Mon Sep 17, 2018 4:31 pmYou know what, I'm not telling ya which one is up +0.4% over 4mths - I'm trading that shizzle
- ruthlessimon
- Posts: 2094
- Joined: Wed Mar 23, 2016 3:54 pm
- ruthlessimon
- Posts: 2094
- Joined: Wed Mar 23, 2016 3:54 pm
i guess if you'd made prince's legend purple, it would ahve been a giveaway!! ok, new strategy for the week in place!! lol
- ruthlessimon
- Posts: 2094
- Joined: Wed Mar 23, 2016 3:54 pm
Assuming I did the formula right (big caveat there!!):
"Prince" comes out as -0.12%
But backing every fav to win came out as 2%
- ruthlessimon
- Posts: 2094
- Joined: Wed Mar 23, 2016 3:54 pm
Yup that's what I did, Prince came out at -0.1%; yet it's dominating on that backtest - that really was fascinating seeing the difference there - suggesting there is no edge. Massively appreciated Pete
- ShaunWhite
- Posts: 9731
- Joined: Sat Sep 03, 2016 3:42 am
And then there's oversharing....
https://www.urbandictionary.com/define.php?term=edge
edge
To edge is a masturbation technique (used mostly, but not exclusively by men) where you intentionally bring yourself to the brink (edge) of orgasm- but don't cum. Instead you stop and let the pleasurable feelings die down. You repeat this process of bringing yourself to the edge as many times as you wish. Although an orgasm is a 10 on the pleasure scale, the intense pleasure you feel while getting close to the edge is a 9... so by starting and stopping just before you cum you keep yourself feeling intense pleasure for as long as you wish, or until you orgasm, or your hard on goes limp. A sex partner can also edge you- usually by hand or orally.
https://www.urbandictionary.com/define.php?term=edge
edge
To edge is a masturbation technique (used mostly, but not exclusively by men) where you intentionally bring yourself to the brink (edge) of orgasm- but don't cum. Instead you stop and let the pleasurable feelings die down. You repeat this process of bringing yourself to the edge as many times as you wish. Although an orgasm is a 10 on the pleasure scale, the intense pleasure you feel while getting close to the edge is a 9... so by starting and stopping just before you cum you keep yourself feeling intense pleasure for as long as you wish, or until you orgasm, or your hard on goes limp. A sex partner can also edge you- usually by hand or orally.
guess that'll put an end to pm me later and i'll share my edge with you - lolShaunWhite wrote: ↑Mon Sep 17, 2018 5:19 pmAnd then there's oversharing....
https://www.urbandictionary.com/define.php?term=edge
edge
To edge is a masturbation technique (used mostly, but not exclusively by men) where you intentionally bring yourself to the brink (edge) of orgasm- but don't cum. Instead you stop and let the pleasurable feelings die down. You repeat this process of bringing yourself to the edge as many times as you wish. Although an orgasm is a 10 on the pleasure scale, the intense pleasure you feel while getting close to the edge is a 9... so by starting and stopping just before you cum you keep yourself feeling intense pleasure for as long as you wish, or until you orgasm, or your hard on goes limp. A sex partner can also edge you- usually by hand or orally.