Who wants to share some edges.

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Jukebox
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Euler wrote:
Mon Sep 17, 2018 3:44 pm
I was thinking that a full analysis would be to download the HRB list of horses and see what the distribution of names is by starting letter.
Wouldn't it be safer to limit the distribution analysis to the participating sample rather than get the name of every donkey that ever lived.
Last edited by Jukebox on Mon Sep 17, 2018 3:51 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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ruthlessimon
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Euler wrote:
Mon Sep 17, 2018 3:45 pm
Is that to level stakes?
No, the staking was varied to account for the differences in price.

A 1 tick winner will always = £1, no matter the price
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jimibt
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simon - would be interested to know if solo artists that go by a shortname also produces great results, off the top of my head:

1. prince
2. drake
3. moby
4. adele

lol
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Euler
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ruthlessimon wrote:
Mon Sep 17, 2018 3:50 pm
Euler wrote:
Mon Sep 17, 2018 3:45 pm
Is that to level stakes?
No, the staking was varied to account for the differences in price.

A 1 tick winner will always = £1, no matter the price
The best analysis would be to look at the excess win rate, by assigning each favourite a value of (1*(DID IT WIN)-(1/ODDS))

That will give the true variation to chance
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ruthlessimon
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jimibt wrote:
Mon Sep 17, 2018 3:56 pm
simon - would be interested to know if solo artists that go by a shortname also produces great results, off the top of my head:

1. prince
2. drake
3. moby
4. adele

lol
You know what, I'm not telling ya which one is up +0.4% over 4mths - I'm trading that shizzle :lol:

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jimibt
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ruthlessimon wrote:
Mon Sep 17, 2018 4:31 pm
jimibt wrote:
Mon Sep 17, 2018 3:56 pm
simon - would be interested to know if solo artists that go by a shortname also produces great results, off the top of my head:

1. prince
2. drake
3. moby
4. adele

lol
You know what, I'm not telling ya which one is up +0.4% over 4mths - I'm trading that shizzle :lol:

Image
i reckon drake is the best perforning and moby the underperfomer - :ugeek:
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ruthlessimon
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Euler wrote:
Mon Sep 17, 2018 4:02 pm
The best analysis would be to look at the excess win rate, by assigning each favourite a value of (1*(DID IT WIN)-(1/ODDS))

That will give the true variation to chance
Potentially a dumb question incoming - what do you mean by the "did it win" part? :)
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ruthlessimon
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jimibt wrote:
Mon Sep 17, 2018 4:34 pm
i reckon drake is the best perforning and moby the underperfomer - :ugeek:
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jimibt
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ruthlessimon wrote:
Mon Sep 17, 2018 4:38 pm
jimibt wrote:
Mon Sep 17, 2018 4:34 pm
i reckon drake is the best perforning and moby the underperfomer - :ugeek:
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i guess if you'd made prince's legend purple, it would ahve been a giveaway!! ok, new strategy for the week in place!! lol
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ruthlessimon
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Euler wrote:
Mon Sep 17, 2018 4:02 pm
The best analysis would be to look at the excess win rate, by assigning each favourite a value of (1*(DID IT WIN)-(1/ODDS))

That will give the true variation to chance
Assuming I did the formula right (big caveat there!!):

"Prince" comes out as -0.12%

But backing every fav to win came out as 2%
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Euler
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"DID IT WIN" would be a logical argument where 1 is yes and 0 is no
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ruthlessimon
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Yup that's what I did, Prince came out at -0.1%; yet it's dominating on that backtest - that really was fascinating seeing the difference there - suggesting there is no edge. Massively appreciated Pete :)
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ShaunWhite
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And then there's oversharing.... :?

https://www.urbandictionary.com/define.php?term=edge

edge
To edge is a masturbation technique (used mostly, but not exclusively by men) where you intentionally bring yourself to the brink (edge) of orgasm- but don't cum. Instead you stop and let the pleasurable feelings die down. You repeat this process of bringing yourself to the edge as many times as you wish. Although an orgasm is a 10 on the pleasure scale, the intense pleasure you feel while getting close to the edge is a 9... so by starting and stopping just before you cum you keep yourself feeling intense pleasure for as long as you wish, or until you orgasm, or your hard on goes limp. A sex partner can also edge you- usually by hand or orally.
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jimibt
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ShaunWhite wrote:
Mon Sep 17, 2018 5:19 pm
And then there's oversharing.... :?

https://www.urbandictionary.com/define.php?term=edge

edge
To edge is a masturbation technique (used mostly, but not exclusively by men) where you intentionally bring yourself to the brink (edge) of orgasm- but don't cum. Instead you stop and let the pleasurable feelings die down. You repeat this process of bringing yourself to the edge as many times as you wish. Although an orgasm is a 10 on the pleasure scale, the intense pleasure you feel while getting close to the edge is a 9... so by starting and stopping just before you cum you keep yourself feeling intense pleasure for as long as you wish, or until you orgasm, or your hard on goes limp. A sex partner can also edge you- usually by hand or orally.
guess that'll put an end to pm me later and i'll share my edge with you - lol
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Derek27
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I think we've shared enough edges now. :lol:

Unfortunate first post, but I hope the OP's not put off continuing to use the forum. :)
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