I have a dutching strategy with just one simple rule that has a 100% strike rate on any market you choose - and I'll give it to you.
Dutch every horse in the race.
I have a dutching strategy with just one simple rule that has a 100% strike rate on any market you choose - and I'll give it to you.
Yeah results are based on value bets only.kingsmark wrote: ↑Tue Jun 04, 2019 12:42 pmYour postion sounds familiar.
Strike rate is a consideration but finding value is essential.
Paper losses do not invoke the same reactions that come with real losses. Some losses are within the model, others can be a problem. Understanding or accepting the difference is not easy.
That's more or less how I started out trading, only I would lay the entire field. You'd be surprised how easy it was to make money on the ante-post markets, though sadly they have gone dead now.wearthefoxhat wrote: ↑Tue Jun 04, 2019 8:13 am
I vaguely remember a spreadsheet (freely available) called the credit crunch killer system. You would attempt to dutch every selection in the race by adding x% to the whole race/odds, dependent upon number of runners, input "new odds" into Betfair and let the market move accordingly.
The ones that didn't match pre-off, could be traded out as a loss. (doesn't mean they'll go against you). It was surprising how many would be matched, guaranteeing a win. Also it was a good way of learning how the market moved.
As I alluded to in a post earlier today in another thread people don't understand the difference between gambling and betting and now they have a third status to take on board, trading.ShaunWhite wrote: ↑Tue Jun 04, 2019 1:27 amIt's perfectly normal for people to be concerned about what they don't understand, and education is much more powerful than expecting someone to change their attitudes by using blind faith alone or pulling the wool over their eyes.
To bet professionally you need to have a mindset that copes with losses, your partner needs to have a similar mindset.
I will immediately admit I have not thought this through but could you nominate your selections in an Excel worksheet per race?
Yes thanks for the reply it took me a while to realise it myself the answer was so obvious!ShaunWhite wrote: ↑Tue Jun 04, 2019 4:48 pmThe easy way is to run multiple instances of BA and nominate a couple of runners in each.