Hi
Does anybody know how I would calculate the probability of the home team scoring a 1st half goal ?
Thanks
Keith
1st Half Goal Probability
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The probability that the home team would score a goal in the first half, rather than not scoring if that makes sense - so any goal as long as in the first half. This is prior to kick off.
http://www.football-data.co.uk/ spreadsheets are very good for this. You can manipulate these to see the number/proportion of matches across individual or all major European leagues in which the home team scored in the first half (by season). You can also look at this by team and see that there is considerable variation. I think last season, there was a goal in the first half in every Werder Bremen league game (home and away), although they didn't necessarily score it. Their first match this season was 0-0 at HT though (I think).kb19trader wrote: ↑Thu Aug 24, 2017 4:34 pmThe probability that the home team would score a goal in the first half, rather than not scoring if that makes sense - so any goal as long as in the first half. This is prior to kick off.