Has anyone experimented mixing bets to hedge against all perceived 'realistic outcomes''?
In the attached. I have have covered the events of Arsenal winning. Everton winning 2-1, a draw under 2.5 goals, whilst my bet is hedged 50% if Everton win 1-0 or 2-0, or 82% if there is a draw over 2.5 goals.
Arsenal are doing well at the moment & I think they will avoid defeat or at worse, lose 2-1. I dont think Arsenal will not score, which means Everton need 2 goals to win. Of course the worst case scenario is Everton win 3-2 in which I lose everything. Another realistic outcome is Arsenal winning 2-1 which would mean I only make 6%. But Whilst that a very probable result, I stand to make 56% if Arsenal win 1-0 or 2-0, a 1-1 draw will return 33% whilst a 2-2 draw ill lost 20% of my bet, an Everton 2-1 wins gets me 22%. I suppose I would up my stakes to improve my return for a Arsenal win over 2.5 goals, but that would lower returns across all over outcomes.
I have found this staretegy useful when teams like Arsenal, Chelsea, Tottenham, Liverpool United, City play away from home at decent teams. Like Everton, Wolves, Newcastle ect.
Mixing bets
Football, Soccer - whatever you call it. It is the beautiful game.
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