I'm going to try and post regular goal ratings to this thread. They have proved popular in the past and should give you some insight in what games to trade with certain strategies.
First ratings should go up tomorrow morning
How to use the ratings
It's important to note that the ratings give you a guide as to where high and low scoring matches are most likely to exist.
It does NOT tell you specifically which matches will or won't have a certain number of goals or whether there are no goals expected, but it does give you a confidence that something will happen.
Typically it's best to use a strategy on a group of matches. Such is the variability of goals in a football match, putting a strategy to use in a cluster of low scoring matches will always deliver more consistent results than gambling it all on one match.
If you see a rating of 2.30 what that is saying, if the match was played 100 times then we would expect to see 230 goals in those 100 matches. You could easily see a 5-0 in there, but it would be very rare and a low score would be much more likely.
Over the course of the season we would expect to be very close in terms of goals to average rating but....
Unlikely results do occur and high scoring matches can deliver low scores and vice versa. You could have poor weather, a key player sent off or a freak goal. So you can never say exactly what will happen. Only that something is more or less likely and that is how you should the ratings.
Football ratings
-
- Posts: 1110
- Joined: Thu Jan 12, 2012 10:00 am
Im looking forward to that peter ,its very welcome .
i want to get more involved in the football this year .and trying to find something with value is not easy for me as horse racing is my first choice.but we all know whats coming,no night racing ,water loged courses .snow etc,
so it would be great to have some help in this area,
Thanks in advance.
Marc
i want to get more involved in the football this year .and trying to find something with value is not easy for me as horse racing is my first choice.but we all know whats coming,no night racing ,water loged courses .snow etc,
so it would be great to have some help in this area,
Thanks in advance.
Marc
The market is forecasting around 18 goals today. Matches ranked from most to least goals: -
3.37 - Man Utd vs. Swansea
2.90 - Arsenal vs. C Palace
2.87 - West Ham vs. Tottenham
2.59 - Leicester vs. Everton
2.54 - West Brom vs. Sunderland
2.40 - Stoke vs. Aston Villa
2.28 - QPR vs. Hull
3.37 - Man Utd vs. Swansea
2.90 - Arsenal vs. C Palace
2.87 - West Ham vs. Tottenham
2.59 - Leicester vs. Everton
2.54 - West Brom vs. Sunderland
2.40 - Stoke vs. Aston Villa
2.28 - QPR vs. Hull
-
- Posts: 81
- Joined: Thu Apr 16, 2009 10:34 am
What is the best way to use these ratings ? Anything under 2.5 you back Unders which you did I see from the screenshots ? As straight bets these would have won ? Do you always close out at Half Time on these ?
Anything Over 2.5 you back Overs ? I can't see any screenshots of these from you Peter ? Do you back these as Over games ? Trade them as Over games with a Stop Loss ? Keep profits on Overs and reduce liability ? Do you look for value odds when trading these and wil the odds on offer vary whether you will trade them or not ?
Anything Over 2.5 you back Overs ? I can't see any screenshots of these from you Peter ? Do you back these as Over games ? Trade them as Over games with a Stop Loss ? Keep profits on Overs and reduce liability ? Do you look for value odds when trading these and wil the odds on offer vary whether you will trade them or not ?
Tremendous work there PW - only West Ham stopped a full house of correct predictions, and there were 2 red cards there which totally changes a match anywayEuler wrote:The market is forecasting around 18 goals today. Matches ranked from most to least goals: -
3.37 - Man Utd vs. Swansea
2.90 - Arsenal vs. C Palace
2.87 - West Ham vs. Tottenham
2.59 - Leicester vs. Everton
2.54 - West Brom vs. Sunderland
2.40 - Stoke vs. Aston Villa
2.28 - QPR vs. Hull
Excellent stuff
Goal ratings for this evening's matches, ranked from most goals to least. We reckon there will be around 13 goals this evening.
3.45 : Red Bull Salzburg vs. Malmo FF
2.85 : Real Madrid vs. Atl Madrid
2.64 : Besiktas vs. Arsenal
2.51 : Napoli vs. Ath Bilbao
2.48 : FC Copenhagen vs. Leverkusen
2.25 : Steaua Bucharest vs. Ludogorets
3.45 : Red Bull Salzburg vs. Malmo FF
2.85 : Real Madrid vs. Atl Madrid
2.64 : Besiktas vs. Arsenal
2.51 : Napoli vs. Ath Bilbao
2.48 : FC Copenhagen vs. Leverkusen
2.25 : Steaua Bucharest vs. Ludogorets
Goal ratings for this evening's matches, ranked from most goals to least. We reckon there will be around 14 goals this evening.
2.57 : Fulham vs. Wolves
2.45 : Standard vs. Zenit St Petersburg
2.36 : NK Maribor vs. Celtic
2.20 : AaB vs. APOEL
2.10 : Slovan Bratislava vs. BATE Borisov
2.09 : Lille vs. Porto
2.57 : Fulham vs. Wolves
2.45 : Standard vs. Zenit St Petersburg
2.36 : NK Maribor vs. Celtic
2.20 : AaB vs. APOEL
2.10 : Slovan Bratislava vs. BATE Borisov
2.09 : Lille vs. Porto