Trading Golf : Open Golf 2016

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Euler
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Fri Jul 15, 2016 10:47 pm

£10 returns to the cut

Start to cut - Phil Mickelson - 44 to 3.75 - £107.33
Start to cut - Henrik Stenson - 30 to 4 - £65
Start to cut - Soren Kjeldsen - 260 to 14.5 - £169.31
Start to cut - Zach Johnson - 75 to 18.5 - £30.54
Start to cut - Rory McIlroy - 12.5 to 21 - £-4.05
Start to cut - Dustin Johnson - 9.4 to 23 - £-5.91
Start to cut - Sergio Garcia - 30 to 22 - £3.64
Start to cut - Keegan Bradley - 520 to 25 - £198
Start to cut - Charl Schwartzel - 65 to 34 - £9.12
Start to cut - Martin Kaymer - 48 to 55 - £-1.27
Start to cut - Matt Kuchar - 70 to 65 - £0.77
Start to cut - Rickie Fowler - 40 to 80 - £-5
Start to cut - Rafael Cabrera-Bello - 110 to 90 - £2.22
Start to cut - Tony Finau - 320 to 80 - £30
Start to cut - Bill Haas - 410 to 95 - £33.16
Start to cut - Andrew Johnston - 800 to 100 - £70
Start to cut - Patrick Reed - 75 to 110 - £-3.18
Start to cut - Jason Day - 10.5 to 110 - £-9.05
Start to cut - Adam Scott - 22 to 150 - £-8.53
Start to cut - Kevin Na - 410 to 160 - £15.63

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Euler
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Fri Jul 15, 2016 11:18 pm

Billy Horshel missed the cut having shot a first round 67!

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Dublin_Flyer
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Sat Jul 16, 2016 12:29 am

Question for ya Peter, are the prices taken at tee time or hours previous or does it vary?

Reason being a chap from work backed Stenson at 28/1 in PaddyPower or Boyles, I thought he would have been much higher on BF.

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Euler
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Sat Jul 16, 2016 8:55 am

I capture them at or just before tee time. I was slightly late this year, but it looks like the price for Stenson is correct and hadn't move when captured.

shakespeare
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Sat Jul 16, 2016 9:39 am

Is this list not misleading, since it suffers from Survivor's Bias? That is, it excludes all the players who didn't make the cut and therefore it conceals lots of £10 losses.

Grzemp
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Joined: Thu Nov 28, 2013 8:47 am

Sat Jul 16, 2016 11:30 am

I believe this is a private bet list of Pete's choices he backed and layed for profit, not all players profit and loss list

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Euler
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Sat Jul 16, 2016 12:34 pm

shakespeare wrote:Is this list not misleading, since it suffers from Survivor's Bias? That is, it excludes all the players who didn't make the cut and therefore it conceals lots of £10 losses.
Only if you back every player, which would be illogical.

Imagine you backed 30 of them, then look at that list again.

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Euler
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Sat Jul 16, 2016 12:35 pm

Also this doesn't include trading out on players at their low point, like Patrick Reed who traded at 15's

shakespeare
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Sat Jul 16, 2016 12:45 pm

Euler wrote:Only if you back every player, which would be illogical.

Imagine you backed 30 of them, then look at that list again.
You are a god. Obviously the hard part is knowing which 30 to back. :oops:

I wasn't expecting a personal reply. I thought on this forum the grownups like you talk about grownup things to each other while Dallas babysits the children (like me) and answers our tiresome questions. :lol:

Kev123in
Posts: 42
Joined: Sat Apr 23, 2016 1:13 pm

Sat Jul 16, 2016 1:20 pm

Managed to show a profit on the first 3 majors of the year using this strategy. Looking to do something more interesting with the profit now coming in to the weekend, perhaps lay the fav when entering the hard part of the course or even dutching the front of the field as suggested by Peter in one of his latest blogs.

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