There’s no doubt it’s risky, sure, but ; lets take the following seneraio:ShaunWhite wrote: ↑Mon Jan 14, 2019 6:41 am80 is 80 whether you find them in a minute or a year. If something is rare you have to accept the outcome will be less certain.
A trader could claim they have a single discretionary strategy, however a quant might label them as having, 100 minor objective strategies.
Assuming each edge had a profitable backtest over 100 markets (over the past yr); conventional analysis would deem each as inconclusive, and unlikely to succeed. Yet analysing the performance of the 100 as a single block = 10,000 sample. Suddenly we're into the realm of extreme validity, yet there's no overall difference
Now there's defo gonna be the curve fit argument, however conversely, 100 independent strategies technically lowers the chance of total failure, assuming a couple of the strategies do have some half decent logic , & aren't correlated.
Albeit, genuinely new trade ideas come at an absolute premium. Waiting for a bigger sample, far easier!!