Profitability changes with higher stakes

Advanced automation available in Guardian - Chat with others and share files here.
Post Reply
Xander170885
Posts: 10
Joined: Fri Sep 17, 2021 10:55 am

Dear all,

For three weeks I've tested a strategy with stakes 0.01 and 0.02, which proved to be very profitable. Now, I implied higher stakes (0.17), and now it seems just to break even. Disappointing, to say the least. Anyone familiar with this phenomenon?
Fugazi
Posts: 306
Joined: Wed Jan 10, 2024 7:20 pm

Xander170885 wrote:
Fri Feb 23, 2024 7:02 am
Dear all,

For three weeks I've tested a strategy with stakes 0.01 and 0.02, which proved to be very profitable. Now, I implied higher stakes (0.17), and now it seems just to break even. Disappointing, to say the least. Anyone familiar with this phenomenon?
Yep. Otherwise your profit would go to infinity.

But if you can make profit from small stakes, automate it and adapt it to more markets and youll have a pretty good little earner
User avatar
Euler
Posts: 24816
Joined: Wed Nov 10, 2010 1:39 pm
Location: Bet Angel HQ

Xander170885 wrote:
Fri Feb 23, 2024 7:02 am
Dear all,

For three weeks I've tested a strategy with stakes 0.01 and 0.02, which proved to be very profitable. Now, I implied higher stakes (0.17), and now it seems just to break even. Disappointing, to say the least. Anyone familiar with this phenomenon?
You are probably profiting from a rounding error, rather than the strategy itself on those stakes.

Betfair don't let people bet such small amounts typically, so you could end up with a rap across the knuckles if you continue on small stakes.
Anbell
Posts: 2062
Joined: Fri Apr 05, 2019 2:31 am

Xander170885 wrote:
Fri Feb 23, 2024 7:02 am
Dear all,

For three weeks I've tested a strategy with stakes 0.01 and 0.02, which proved to be very profitable. Now, I implied higher stakes (0.17), and now it seems just to break even. Disappointing, to say the least. Anyone familiar with this phenomenon?
It is most likely variance. How many 1c bets did you have, with what ROI, and at what average price? How many 17c bets did you have, with what ROI, and at what average price?
Post Reply

Return to “Bet Angel - Automation”