From http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Black_swan_theory:
1. What is fragile should break early while it is still small. Nothing should ever become Too Big to Fail.
2. No socialisation of losses and privatisation of gains.
3. People who were driving a school bus blindfolded (and crashed it) should never be given a new bus.
4. Do not let someone making an "incentive" bonus manage a nuclear plant – or your financial risks.
5. Counter-balance complexity with simplicity.
6. Do not give children sticks of dynamite, even if they come with a warning.
7. Only Ponzi schemes should depend on confidence. Governments should never need to "restore confidence".
8. Do not give an addict more drugs if he has withdrawal pains.
9. Citizens should not depend on financial assets or fallible "expert" advice for their retirement.
10. Make an omelette with the broken eggs.
Taleb's ten principles for a black swan robust world
Thanks Oddstrader!
Here are a couple of quotes from Taleb's latest book, The Bed of Procrustes:
“Those who do not think that employment is systemic slavery are either blind or employed.”
And:
“They think that intelligence is about noticing things that are relevant (detecting patterns); in a complex world, intelligence consists in ignoring things that are irrelevant (avoiding false patterns).”
Jff
Here are a couple of quotes from Taleb's latest book, The Bed of Procrustes:
“Those who do not think that employment is systemic slavery are either blind or employed.”
And:
“They think that intelligence is about noticing things that are relevant (detecting patterns); in a complex world, intelligence consists in ignoring things that are irrelevant (avoiding false patterns).”
Jff
oddstrader wrote:wise words Jeff