Black Caviar
I was just wondering if the odds moved up much in play ?Euler wrote:Sorry Peter, didn't see this. If you email me I have the data.
(The race tomorrow turns in play too)..
I have a couple of large lay bets in with offsets pre off, so if I make anything I will leave half on BC and dutch the rest..good luck!
This is an interesting quote: -
THE world's most respected racehorse assessor rates Black Caviar the "greatest certainty since Phar Lap" in the Goodwood Stakes at Morphettville today.
"The only difference is punters will be offered odds to bet," Timeform's Gary Crispe said yesterday.
Bookmakers refused to lay bets on Phar Lap 13 times, a feat Black Caviar is yet to achieve.
But she will start the shortest price of her career today, possibly as short as $1.02.
The last horse to start that short was Ajax in the 1939 Rawson Stakes at Rosehill - and he was sensationally beaten.
THE world's most respected racehorse assessor rates Black Caviar the "greatest certainty since Phar Lap" in the Goodwood Stakes at Morphettville today.
"The only difference is punters will be offered odds to bet," Timeform's Gary Crispe said yesterday.
Bookmakers refused to lay bets on Phar Lap 13 times, a feat Black Caviar is yet to achieve.
But she will start the shortest price of her career today, possibly as short as $1.02.
The last horse to start that short was Ajax in the 1939 Rawson Stakes at Rosehill - and he was sensationally beaten.
Any horse that is rated 25lb+ better (Timeform 137)than the opposition means that what you are betting on is that there will be a mishap, either on the way to the start, in the stalls or when tacking across to the rail. After that I think Black Caviar is a shoe in and I fully expect her to go off (with 10,000 Aus followers at the course) at much shorter odds; maybe 1.12 to 1.15. [The last 11 races she started at best 1.14 and the last 8 races biggest SP was 1.1]
Her "true" oddss are 1.05.
Her "true" oddss are 1.05.
I can't see any of her comepetitors today will be able to take her on. 1.20 will be preatty good odd to have. I think her fair odd need to be around 1.08. The going wont't have any effect. The only thing that can prevent her from winning is her journey from Oz to here but since its already been few weeks I doubt that this will be much an issue. I opposed her (needless to say without success) once when she was 1.04 but I doubt that I will oppose her today.
