Djokovic

[Iron]

Not really. All you really need to know is that Rafa is king of clay and Roger is king of grass. So just back Rafa at the French and Roger at Wimbledon.

I think there's a bit more to beating hyper-efficient markets than that...

And whenever theres an injury scare everyone goes bannanas and massively overreacts so whenever you see Roger wincing and rubbing a bit of sweat off his brow his price will suddenly blow out to 15 before dropping back to 5 again

That's an interesting angle, although the challenge is knowing when to get in and when to get out. Also, as with horse racing, presumably the guys on court have a advantage over people watching the game at home, due to the TV delay.

Also, how can you be sure the market over-reacts to that? Isn't it possible that it under-reacts?

Jeff

[superfrank]

That's an interesting angle, although the challenge is knowing when to get in and when to get out. Also, as with horse racing, presumably the guys on court have a advantage over people watching the game at home, due to the TV delay.

Also, how can you be sure the market over-reacts to that? Isn't it possible that it under-reacts?

Jeff

therein lies the good trader's advantage - he doesn't pretend to "know" what will happen next or expect exact timing on entries/exits. it's a probability game.

[pdupre1961]

In my opinion Murray is very fragile against the very best, and Ferrer is a machine.

First set to Ferrer...7-6...only just though after leading the set 5-2.

I over estimated Ferrer's improvement and bottle. He basically gave the game away from a winning position.

Now, Murray can get to the final as he has a huge advantage over Tsonga. However, don't forget Henman had 100% record over Ivanisevic before their semi-final clash in 2001. Though, again Ivanisevic had played 2 Wimbledon finals previously. Therefore, Murray has a big edge because he has already played 3 grand slam finals.

Murray has won both games on grass, including the final at last years Queens. Over all 5-1 to Murray.

The only advantage Tsonga has, is the ability to raise his game to a higher level - last year at Wimbledon he beat Federer to get to the Semi-Final.

[Zenyatta]

No one beats the Fed express on grass.

[pdupre1961]

First set to Federer 6-3

As far as I can see the only thing stopping Roger from winning this match is: Roger...

Everything is in his favour:-
1. Novak's run in grand slams has come to an end.
2. Novak has never beaten Roger at Wimbledon.
3. Roger will be Number 1 again if he wins the title.
4. Indoor is better for Roger.
5. Grass is better for Roger.
and now it's 2-0 Djokovic - so I'm wrong again.

[pdupre1961]

Good news Federer leads 2-1

6-3, 3-6, 6-4

[Zenyatta]

Supurb. As I was saying
NO ONE BEATS THE FED EXPRESS ON GRASS

[pdupre1961]

14 points from victory.

[pdupre1961]

3-0, 12 points from victory.

[pdupre1961]

4-1, 8 points from victory.

[Euler]

Trying to imagine what a Murray / Federer final will be like.

[pdupre1961]

5-2, 4 points from victory.

[pdupre1961]

2-5, 30-30, 2 points away
2-5, 40-30, 3 points...
2-5, 40-40, 2 pts
2-5, A-40, 3 pts
5-3, Federer to serve for match

[Zenyatta]

Trying to imagine what a Murray / Federer final will be like.

Murray plays in the same style as Federer (power player) but not as well. With the form Fed is in it will be a straight sets win to Fed.

THE FED EXPRESS WILL CRUSH MURRAY LIKE A STEAM TRAIN

[pdupre1961]

5-3, 15-0, 3 points away
5-3, 15-15, 3 points..
5-3, 30-15, 2 pts.
5-3, 30-30, 2 pts still...getting nervous
5-3, 30-30, replay point
5-3, 40-30, match point

Federer wins