2013 Predictions

[Photon]

It’s been a good 5 years since banking crises and I’m going to predict a return of the bust cycle as there’s seem to disconnect between economic performance of countries like USA, UK, Spain, Portugal and financial markets. The UK is going to see a double dip recession as not sure where the growth is going to come from and compounded by the fact that there’s no Olympics and other feel good factors this year and with austerity measures taking full year effect means we’re going to see rise in unemployment especially in retail sector & hospitality sectors.

In the UK we’re likely to see an increase in social unrest as austerity measure, role of high street continue to slide and increasing unemployment will result in more protests, disturbances and general social unrest.

Russia will rise in prominence as they’re likely to use their energy wealth in oil, gas and other natural resources and try to get more countries on their side and generally try to influence things in Europe.

[hgodden]

My only somewhat meak financial prediction is that the can will get kicked down the road in the US and Eurozone.

Slightly off topic but I think Spanish football will start to hit a proper crisis with the taxman calling in debts that clubs can't pay; some of which may well go to the wall in time (including a few big name La Liga clubs) which will have a domino (if not neccessarily fatal, but at least a serious) effect on clubs around europe.

Btw did anyone see the special edition of Wired magazine,The World in 2013? Details lots of interesting technologies etc coming our way soon and in the future, could be useful for anyone looking to invest in the next big thing

http://www.wired.co.uk/magazine/the-world-in-2013

[Tobedotty]

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2013-01-0 ... ficit.html

Some hope to my yield predictions after all.

[superfrank]

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2013-01-0 ... ficit.html

Some hope to my yield predictions after all.

yeah an interesting start to 2013.

the FED seems to be saying that the economy will be able to cope without QE later this year and may stop buying bonds and mortgage gabbage... hence bonds falling and also gold and silver getting panned. stocks wary after jumping on fiscal cliff fudge.

http://www.marketwatch.com/story/stock- ... 2013-01-04

“The level of support provided through QE3 is the equivalent of life support for the market, and with the market dependent on this support continuing, any steps indicating that the machine will be turned off is bad news for investors,” said Rebecca O’Keeffe, head of investment at Interactive Investor in London.

Markets are likely to tread water ahead of the jobs data, “but the better the number… the more likely it is that the markets will decline,” O’Keeffe said in a note.

quite perverse really. better economic data = bad news for markets, because it means less chance of printed money propping everything up!

that tells you just how manipulated financial markets have become, and just how far away from "normal" we are.

[Iron]

Jim Rogers's predictions for 2013/4 - http://www.youtube.com/watch?NR=1&v=1Dr ... =endscreen